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- Macro Monday: Massive Week For Housing Data
Macro Monday: Massive Week For Housing Data
The Macro Institute's Weekly Economic Primer
There is a lot of data out this week due to Thanksgiving next week. We get a read on November from the Philly Fed release on Thursday and on Friday we see Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Flash Market PMIs. That said, housing data will be our focus. We get the NAHB Index and home sales on Monday, housing starts and building permits on Tuesday. It will be interesting to see if the floor in this data set held in the midst of the recent rebound in interest rates. Mortgage rates in the U.S. are closing in on 7% once again, a level not seen since July. Keep an eye on that data.
The Macro Week Ahead
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The Macro Week In Review
Macro To Micro: Tariff Edition
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK):
“Coming out of the gate, there would be price increases associated with tariffs that are put into the market. And so we've worked through a lot of that ... The second thing is we've built a fairly robust plan of how we would mitigate these tariffs over the next two years by moving production and aspects of the supply chain to different parts of the world. And some of that would be potentially moving things from China to other parts of Asia, maybe to Mexico … unlikely that we're moving a lot back to the US, because it's just not cost effective to do. And there's questions about whether we even have the labor to actually do that in this country.”
Home Depot (HD):
"I would say, first and foremost, whatever happens in tariffs will be an industry-wide impact. It won't discriminate against different retailers and distributors who are importing goods. The type of product as an industry is generally sourced from the same countries. There has been some diversification of those sources, but clearly, a bit of concentration in Southeast Asia and China in particular. We source well more than half of our goods domestically and in North America, but there certainly will be an impact."
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What We Read This Weekend
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